The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2019-20: Round 12
A win for Mike gave him a boost as he chases leader Dan, while Jake climbed off the bottom of the table when Wolves denied Arsenal. Here are our five wagers for the 12th week of Premier League action- According lớn the football tip page!
Midlands rivals to entertain after the interval
Back Second Half in 'Half with Most Goals' market in Wolves v Aston Villa @ 11/10
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It's a straightforward stats-based bet for me this week after I was burnt last time by going purely on the price for Palace to beat Leicester.
The first and second half performances for these two Midlands rivals are pretty extraordinary and may well be added to the dictionary definition of 'chalk and cheese' soon.
Opta tell us that no side has conceded fewer first half goals than Villa (3) but no one has let in more after the interval (15). You can follow lớn the soccer tip to win page!
In a Premier League table based on first half results, Villa would have joint most (22) while Wolves would have joint fewest. But for the second half, only Leicester would have more than Nuno Espírito Santo's men (23).
So a Villa/Wolves bet in the HT/FT market is a tempter at 14/1 but I'll keep it simple and back second half in the Half with Most Goals market at 11/10.
Dan Thomas 2019-20 P/L: +£83.20
Don't expect goals at St James' Park
Back Under hai.5 Goals @ 1.86 in Newcastle v Bournemouth
This is probably one of the shortest-price bets I've put up in the Battle, but I'm struggling to find a very confident bet this week and the one that I liked at the prices - Liverpool to beat Man City - has already been snaffled up by Joe the shrewdy.
So it's all about a numbers game for me this week.
Bournemouth's last four games have finished 1-0, 0-0, 0-0 and 1-0. I don't know how, but the great entertainers have turned into a well-oiled defensive machine. But with that has come a lack of goals at the other end.
Newcastle's home games this term have finished 0-1, 1-1, 0-0, 1-0 and 1-1. We know that Steve Bruce's men generally struggle to score, but on home soil they can be a tough nut to crack, as the results and number of goals conceded proves.
So that's it from me this week. Nine scorelines mentioned and not a number '2' in sight. If that trend continues on Saturday we'll bag another winner, short-price or not.
Mike Norman 2019-20 P/L: +£22.80
Rainbow time on the south coast
Back BTTS and Over hai.5 goals @ hai.13 on the Same Game Multi in Southampton v Everton
This game could put the final nail in the coffin for Ralph Hasenhüttl or Marco Silva as both managers come into this match in desperate need of a win.
Southampton put in a much more committed performance at the Etihad last weekend than their roll-over job in the 9-0 defeat against Leicester, but were fortunate lớn hang on for as long as they did. They were absolutely hammered on xG once again (xG: MCI 3.92 - 0.76 SOU).
Their xGA is creeping up after a decent start to the season (1.96 xGA per game), but that can happen when you allow 8.77 xGA in your last two games...
Southampton sit third bottom of the table and three points from safety (behind their opponents in this game), but, surprisingly, they rank as the 11th best team on xG, so their process hasn't been bad. However, we have seen a decline, probably due to a tough schedule (their last five games have been against teams who finished in the top nine last season) and a lack of confidence.