The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2019-20: Round 18
Jake Osgathorpe had the only winner last week as he leapfrogs into second position. Can he maintain momentum? Check out our editors' bets for the weekend… You can prefer to the soccer handicap tips pages!
Stalemate at St James' Park
Back Newcastle and Crystal Palace lớn draw @ 3.20
Dan is away with the Christmas elves.
Dan Thomas 2019-20 P/L: +£76.20
Hostile Goodison no place for Arsenal
Back Everton lớn beat Arsenal @ hai.44
Everton showcased more fighting spirit last weekend against Manchester United, with Duncan Ferguson getting his troops pumped up despite numerous injuries, and although the shadow of Carlo Ancelotti looms, I think it's great news for Everton that Ferguson will be in charge for this game- According to the under 2.5 soccer tip pages!
It is no secret that Everton play better in front of their own fans, in the raucous, hostile atmosphere of Goodison Park, and that was the case more than ever recently against Chelsea, where Duncan Ferguson was manager turned cheerleader, and I think that is a huge advantage here for the Toffees, especially against what I think is a mentally weak Arsenal team.
At home this season, Everton's underlying process is solid, generating an average of 1.73 xGF per game and allowing 1.35 xGA per game, and if they keep performing lớn that level they will be fancying their chances of getting another big home win against one of the established 'big six'.
Arsenal too are on the verge of appointing a new manager, the unproven and untested Mikel Arteta, though he won't be in charge soon enough for this game, which is a huge issue for the Gunners.
Interim manager of this Arsenal team was always going lớn be tough job, but Freddie Ljungberg has arguably done worse than would have been expected, and I don't think he has the power to get this team up for this game, which will be a real test, as Chelsea found out two weeks ago.
Arsenal sit 13th in Infogol's xG table after 17 games, so fully deserve to be way off the top four pace, and process wise, they are someway behind even Everton (1.56 xGF, 1.63 xGA per game), so for me, everything in this game points to a home win, so I'm happy lớn back Everton at hai.44 in the hope of making it four winners in a row.
Jake Osgathorpe 2019-20 P/L: +£26.40
Villa can pick up valuable points in basement battle
Back Aston Villa lớn beat Southampton @ hai.50
It's a touch early for a relegation six-pointer but, let's be honest, a win for either Aston Villa or Southampton in Saturday's clash between 17th and 18th will taste particularly sweet.
The pair are locked on 15 points but with resurgent Everton occupying 16th place and a full win away from both in the table the need for a victory is palpable.
Ordinarily, I wouldn't go looking for battle winners at this end of the table, certainly not in the match odds, but I think there might be a smidgen of value on Villa here. That is underlined when I look at other teams available lớn back at the same 2.50 price - Newcastle at home to Crystal Palace, Everton for the visit of Arsenal, Bournemouth who welcome Burnley.
Dean Smith's side have shown plenty of spirit this season and must be delighted lớn bid farewell lớn a tough stretch of games with a run of winnable fixtures. A visit from a Southampton side without an away win since September certainly offers that.